The Data:Â
- 2 - Day in April dubbed 'Liberation Day'
- 7 - Magnificent Seven drawdown
- 93 - Percentage of job growth from private sector
Commentary:
Uncertainty is the name of the game as markets digest the latest economic and policy shifts. April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day" by President Trump, is set to introduce new tariffs on key imports, though the final scope remains unclear. Initial plans targeted goods from Canada, Mexico, and China, with added pressure on auto imports and agricultural products. While the administration has signaled some flexibility, investors are bracing for the potential impact on trade and inflation. Â
At the same time, the once-dominant "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks are struggling in 2025. With macroeconomic concerns and shifting market sentiment, six of the seven are posting significant year-to-date losses, led by Tesla’s 40% decline. Even AI leaders like Nvidia and Alphabet have been caught in the downturn, shedding hundreds of billions in market value. The sector’s meteoric rise over the past few years may be facing a reality check as investors weigh valuations against economic uncertainty. Â
Meanwhile, job creation trends have taken a sharp turn. From 2021 to 2024, public-sector jobs accounted for 69% of U.S. employment growth, with the private sector making up the remaining 31%. In February 2025, that ratio flipped - 93% of job growth came from private businesses, while the government added just 7%. This shift is crucial: private-sector jobs generate both taxable income and economic growth, while public-sector employment is funded by tax revenue. If this trend continues, it could help bolster government revenue, ease deficit concerns, and sustain consumer spending - key factors for long-term economic stability. Â
With tariffs, tech turbulence, and employment shifts all in play, the months ahead will test the resilience of markets and businesses alike.
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Like we mentioned in the "Quarterly Check-In" section above, we believe real financial success comes from staying engaged and making adjustments when needed. So, adjust, adapt, and keep moving forward!